Why Existing Buildings Are the Biggest Seismic Risk
New buildings designed under modern codes (IBC, ASCE 7) are dramatically safer in earthquakes than buildings constructed before modern seismic codes were adopted. The 1971 San Fernando earthquake exposed major deficiencies in concrete frame construction. The 1989 Loma Prieta and 1994 Northridge earthquakes revealed dangerous vulnerabilities in soft-story wood-frame apartment buildings and non-ductile concrete moment frames. The 2001 Nisqually earthquake in Washington State demonstrated that unreinforced masonry (URM) buildings — still common in many older cities — are among the most dangerous building types in seismic zones.
The challenge is that millions of these vulnerable buildings remain occupied throughout California, Oregon, Washington, and other seismically active regions. Seismic retrofitting is the engineering practice of strengthening existing buildings to reduce their risk of damage or collapse in future earthquakes — without requiring the complete reconstruction that would be necessary to meet current code requirements for new buildings.
ASCE 41: The Standard for Seismic Evaluation and Retrofit
ASCE 41 (Seismic Evaluation and Retrofit of Existing Buildings) is the primary technical standard for seismic assessment and retrofit design in the United States. Unlike ASCE 7 (which is a prescriptive design standard for new buildings), ASCE 41 uses a performance-based framework where the engineer selects specific seismic performance objectives and designs the retrofit to meet those objectives.
Performance levels in ASCE 41 describe the post-earthquake condition of the building:
Immediate Occupancy (IO): The building sustains minimal structural damage and is safe to occupy immediately after the earthquake. This is the highest performance level, required for essential facilities (hospitals, emergency operations centers) under most retrofit programs.
Life Safety (LS): The building may sustain significant structural and nonstructural damage, but the structure retains enough integrity to protect occupants. This is the standard performance objective for most buildings — roughly equivalent to current code intent for new buildings.
Collapse Prevention (CP): The building is on the verge of collapse but does not collapse. Significant structural damage is expected and the building may need to be demolished after the earthquake. This is the minimum acceptable performance objective.
Seismic hazard levels in ASCE 41 are defined by probability of exceedance: the BSE-1N hazard (10% probability of exceedance in 50 years, roughly a 475-year return period earthquake) is paired with Life Safety for Basic Safety Objective; the BSE-2N hazard (2% probability of exceedance in 50 years, roughly a 2,475-year return period earthquake) is paired with Collapse Prevention.
Common Structural Deficiencies in Existing Buildings
Soft story: A story that is significantly less stiff and strong than the stories above it. Typically occurs in wood-frame apartment buildings where the ground floor has a large garage opening or commercial storefront with minimal shear walls, while upper floors have extensive wood structural panel sheathing. During an earthquake, inelastic deformation concentrates in the weak story, which can collapse while upper floors move together as a rigid mass. The 1994 Northridge earthquake collapsed dozens of soft-story wood apartment buildings, killing 16 people. Los Angeles, San Francisco, Berkeley, Oakland, and numerous other California cities now have mandatory soft-story retrofit ordinances.
Non-ductile concrete moment frames: Concrete moment frames built before the mid-1970s typically lack the confinement reinforcing and detailing that allows modern concrete frames to flex and absorb earthquake energy without brittle failure. Non-ductile columns — with widely spaced, 90-degree hooked ties and insufficient transverse reinforcing — can fail in shear or experience lap splice failures at the column base, leading to collapse. The 1971 and 1994 California earthquakes collapsed numerous non-ductile concrete frame buildings.
Unreinforced masonry (URM): Brick and concrete block construction without steel reinforcing. URM buildings are the most seismically vulnerable common building type — they have no ductility and can fail catastrophically and suddenly. Out-of-plane failure (masonry walls falling away from the building perpendicular to the wall face) is the primary life-safety hazard. Many states and cities have mandatory URM retrofit programs, requiring wall anchoring to floor and roof diaphragms as a minimum retrofit measure.
Weak diaphragm-to-wall connections: In older construction, floor and roof diaphragms may not be adequately connected to the walls below, allowing the diaphragm to separate from the wall during ground shaking. This is particularly common in pre-1970s tilt-up concrete construction and in older wood-frame buildings.
Cripple wall buildings: Single-family homes with a short (typically 12"–36") wood stud wall (cripple wall) between the foundation and the first floor. Cripple walls without structural panel sheathing can rack and collapse in an earthquake, dropping the house off its foundation. This was a major damage pattern in the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake. FEMA has published retrofit guidance (FEMA P-1100) specifically for cripple wall retrofits, which are typically low cost and very effective.
Soft Story Retrofit: FEMA P-807 Approach
The soft story retrofit problem in wood-frame apartment buildings has been the focus of significant engineering research. FEMA P-807 (Seismic Evaluation and Retrofit of Multi-Unit Wood-Frame Buildings with Weak First Stories) provides a procedure that focuses on adding lateral-force-resisting elements to the weak ground story only — rather than retrofitting the entire building — which dramatically reduces cost and disruption.
The P-807 procedure uses nonlinear dynamic analysis to determine required ground story strength based on the building's fundamental period, the ratio of ground story stiffness to upper story stiffness, and the target performance objective (Collapse Prevention at BSE-1E hazard, per most local ordinances). The required strength determines the number and size of new shear walls, plywood sheathing overlays on existing walls, or structural steel moment frames to be added at the ground story.
Common retrofit elements for soft story buildings include: new wood structural panel shear walls in the open garage bays (requires drilling through concrete slab for anchor bolts), plywood overlay on existing stucco walls, or steel moment frames that can be installed with minimal disruption in garage bays without requiring removal of existing finishes.
Retrofit Strategies for Other Building Types
Non-ductile concrete frame retrofit: Options include concrete jacketing (adding a reinforced concrete shell around existing columns to add confinement and strength), steel jacketing (wrapping columns in steel plates, a faster alternative), fiber-reinforced polymer (FRP) wrapping (carbon or glass fiber composite bonded to column surface — adds confinement without significantly increasing column dimensions), or adding new lateral-force-resisting elements (shear walls, steel braced frames, steel moment frames) to reduce demand on the existing non-ductile columns.
URM retrofit: The minimum intervention is wall anchoring — mechanical anchors connecting the URM walls to floor and roof diaphragms to prevent out-of-plane failure. More comprehensive retrofits add reinforced concrete shotcrete overlays to URM walls (creating composite reinforced masonry), or add new lateral-force-resisting frames inside the building to reduce demand on the masonry walls entirely.
Base isolation: Installing seismic isolators at the base of the building (between the foundation and the superstructure) allows the building to move slowly during ground shaking while the ground moves rapidly beneath it, dramatically reducing seismic accelerations transmitted to the structure. Base isolation is expensive and complex but is the most effective retrofit strategy for essential facilities (hospitals, government buildings) that must remain operational after a major earthquake. The Oakland City Hall and numerous California hospitals have been base-isolated as part of seismic retrofit programs.